‘Superman’ vs. ‘Captain America’

May 8, 2014 - box office

by Ray Subers
Superman vs. Captain America 

 May 6, 2014

Two years from today, a biggest showdown in box bureau story is set to take place. At least, that’s what a indeterminate recover report would have we believe.

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In what amounts to a unequivocally high stakes diversion of chicken, Disney and Warner Bros. have scheduled superhero cinema Captain America 3 and an Untitled Superman/Batman Film on May 6, 2016. Over a past few months, several member on a corporate and artistic side have indicated that both sides intend to hang with this date.

Of course, there’s a 0 percent possibility that indeed happens. But some-more on that later. First, let’s take a outing down recover date memory lane.

How did we get here?
Last June, Disney scheduled an untitled Marvel film for May 6, 2016. This would be a 13th film in a “Marvel Cinematic Universe”, and a seventh to flog off a Summer film season. At a time, though, it was misleading what accurately that film would be. A fourth Iron Man movie? A third Thor movie? A new impression like Dr. Strange?

This “placeholder” plan is one a studios have been contracting more-and-more lately. Essentially, they interest out a recover date during some indicate in a apart destiny but meaningful accurately what film will be holding that spot. To see how prevalent this is, take a demeanour during a 2017 Beyond territory of Mojo’s recover schedule: there are now 27 cinema on there, with two-thirds (18) being untitled placeholders (“Untitled Disney Animation”, “Untitled Fox/Marvel”, etc.).

At Comic-Con in July, Warner Bros. announced that a Man of Steel supplement would indeed array Superman opposite Batman, that is a renouned DC Comics storyline that could lead in to a Justice League film (DC’s chronicle of The Avengers). A month later, they set a film for a Jul 2015 release. Warner Bros. has had a ton of success around that time period: from 2007 to 2012, they alternated between a Harry Potter film and a Christopher Nolan movie. The total worldwide transport for those 6 movies? Over $6.1 billion.

Eventually, it became apparent that a Jul 2015 date was going to be formidable to hit. So, Warner Bros. done a confidant choice of pulling a film behind to May 6, 2016the same date as a Marvel movie. Instead of bouncing off a date, Disney dug in a heels: a day after Captain America: The Winter Soldier‘s clever opening, they announced that Captain America 3 would take that spot.

Can both cinema open a same date?
Theoretically, they could face off on May 6th. The biggest weekend ever is Dec. 25-27, 2009, when a Top 12 total to acquire $259.9 million. That’s significantly some-more than a total debuts of Man of Steel and Captain America: The Winter Soldier, definition theaters could hoop a demand.

However, both studios are intelligent adequate to know that a assembly for these dual cinema is scarcely identical, and a vast commission of these moviegoers will not compensate to see both on a same weekend. Each of these studios is partial of a publicly-traded company, and it’s tough to suppose shareholders would be fine with a intensity waste that would come from a event like this. With a lot during interest hereeach will expected have a bill north of $200 millionone of a studios will eventually consent and find another date.

Which one will move, and to where?
This past weekend, Captain America: The Winter Soldier upheld Man of Steel during a worldwide box office. Add in a boost from Avengers: Age of Ultron, and it seems like Captain America has a stronger palm right now.

Of course, this isn’t Captain America contra Superman alone; he also has to contend with Batman, who has a unequivocally clever lane record during a box office. Pitting Superman opposite Batman will make it one of a many expected film events in story (even if Man of Steel was a letdown for some).

Conventional knowledge suggests that one of dual scenarios occurs. First, one of a cinema bounces adult a month to a initial weekend of April. This would be identical to a Captain America: The Winter Soldier contra The Amazing Spider-Man 2 conditions this year, that seemed to advantage a Apr recover (Captain America). Captain America 3 is already operative on a precipitated timeline, thoughit’s not easy to get a peculiarity superhero supplement out in dual yearsand Warner Bros. competence frustrate during releasing one of their biggest cinema ever outward of a Summer.

The other choice is that one of a cinema gets pushed behind to July. There’s an untitled Marvel film on a second weekend that could theoretically get transposed by Captain America 3. Meanwhile, Warner Bros. has Guy Ritchie‘s King Arthur film after in a month, and that could unequivocally simply be changed to accommodate their Batman/Superman flick.

Of course, those are a dual many apparent optionsit’s wholly probable that a some-more radical preference is made.

When competence this happen?
Changing recover dates isn’t accurately an odd practice. Dating behind to a commencement of 2012, 73 cinema have warranted over $100 million during a domestic box office. Only 29 of those titles non-stop on their strange recover dates (to be fair, 7 of those changes were one week or less).

With both sides digging in their heels, it would be startling if a change occured in a nearby future. Distributors don’t need to rigourously book screens with exhibitors until a final months heading adult to release. Licensing agreements and selling skeleton flog in to rigging earlier than that, yet it’s doubtful anyone unequivocally needs to know for certain some-more than a year forward of time. At a earliest, demeanour for an proclamation around Comic-Con in July; during a latest, this conditions should be resolved by a time Avengers: Age of Ultron opens subsequent May.

Discuss this story with fellow Box Office Mojo fans on Facebook. On Twitter, follow us during @boxofficemojo, and follow author Ray Subers during @raysubers.

Related Stories
Weekend Report: With Big ‘Avengers’ Bump, ‘Captain America’ Sets Apr Record
‘Captain America’ Dominates Strong Apr during a Box Office
Weekend Report: ‘Man of Steel’ Soars, Scores New Jun Record
‘Man of Steel,’ ‘Monsters U’ Lead Record-Setting June

Related Charts
Franchises: Marvel Cinematic Universe
Franchises: Captain America
Franchises: Batman
Franchises: Superman
2016 Release Schedule

source ⦿ http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3838

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