Summer 2014 Forecast (cont.)
April 26, 2014 - box officeby Ray Subers
The Fault in Our Stars
April 23, 2014
Continued from Summer Forecast: #1 – 12
13. The Fault in a Stars (June 6): As usual, there’s not a ton of constrained calm for women this Summer. One difference to that is The Fault in Our Stars, that is a regretful play formed off a renouned John Green novel. The trailer has over 15 million views on YouTubein line with many would-be blockbustersand star Shailene Woodley is entrance off a break-out purpose in Divergent. Look for this to be a plain strike as well. (Domestic: $120 million, Foreign: $55 million)
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14. Deliver Us From Evil (July 2): Horror cinema can yield a good choice to all of a big-budget spectacle, R-rated humor, and charcterised transport that dominates multiplexes during a Summer months. Last year’s The Conjuring was a warn strike with $137.4 million; if anything is going to review that this year, a Deliver Us from Evil. The clever trailer facilities a lengthy, really frightening stage that provokes an heard response when personification in theaters, and it has done this a must-see for fans of abnormal fear movies. (Domestic: $115 million, Foreign: $80 million)
15. Planes: Fire and Rescue (July 18): The initial Planes was recognised of as a direct-to-video Cars spinoff. Disney eventually motionless on a melodramatic release, and it pulled in a plain $90.3 million final August. Less than a year later, supplement Fire and Rescue is again reaching theaters nationwide. While this one arguably looks reduction appealing, it will advantage from a blank of family party in late Summer. Don’t be astounded if this gets past $100 million. (Domestic: $110 million, Foreign: $140 million)
16. Hercules (July 25): The Rock is one of a biggest stars in a world, nonetheless his success has especially come from stepping in to pre-branded cinema like G.I. Joe: Retaliation and Fast Five. For Hercules, he’s perplexing to start a authorization on his own, nonetheless his purpose here seems to be lacking a comedic reason of his bigger hits. It’s probable that this surprises and performs in line with Clash of a Titans, nonetheless a some-more reasonable expectancy would be closer to 300: Rise of An Empire or Robin Hood. (Domestic: $105 million, Foreign: $230 million)
17. Tammy (July 2): Melissa McCarthy is entrance off dual vital hits in 2014, and her purpose in Tammy seems to be safely within her wheelhouse. Unlike The Heat and Identity Thief, though, a film lacks a transparent offshoot or a clever co-star (Sandra Bullock, Jason Bateman). Add in a swarming comedy lineup this Summer, and Tammy will expected breeze adult reduce than Identity Thief‘s $134.5 million. (Domestic: $105 million, Foreign: $45 million).
18. Blended (May 23): Adam Sandler has been one of a many unchanging names during a box bureau for scarcely dual decades. He did have dual vital miststeps recently in Jack and Jill and That’s My Boy, nonetheless he seems to be behind on a right lane with family comedy Blended. The film reteams Sandler with 50 First Dates and The Wedding Singer co-star Drew Barrymore. While initial previews were sincerely unappealing, Warner Bros. has put out some-more amiable element lately, and Sandler stays a lift with family audiences. (Domestic: $100 million, Foreign: $95 million)
19. Get On Up (August 1): At a tail finish of a deteriorate full of effects-heavy sequels, broadly-appealing dramas like The Help and Lee Daniels’ The Butler have thrived in August. The film many expected to follow that settlement is Get on Up, a James Brown biopic destined by The Help‘s Tate Taylor and starring 42‘s Chadwick Boseman. Previews easily brew comedy and drama, and this appears to be a kind of film that’s going to lift comparison crowds for many weeks. (Domestic: $95 million, Foreign: $50 million)
20. Edge of Tomorrow (June 6): Over a month out, this seems staid to be one of a big-budget disappointments of a Summer. Tom Cruise hasn’t had most success with strange element as of late: Oblivion, Knight Day, Valkyrie and Jack Reacher all unsuccessful to strech $100 million during a domestic box office. There’s a lot going on in a selling for Edge of Tomorrow: automatic suits, a deceptive visitor enemy, some kind of romance, and of march a “Live Die Repeat” Groundhog Day scenario. None of it gels utterly right, and a tough to suppose this being a outrageous strike with domestic audiences. Still, demeanour for general earnings to collect adult a tardy a bit. (Domestic: $90 million, Foreign: $220 million)
Legends of Oz (May 9): This is a initial recover from Clarius Entertainment, that is giving a charcterised film a estimable selling push. Unfortunately, a inexpensive aesthetics will reason it back, as will a fact that audiences usually trafficked to Oz in 2013. The best box unfolding is grosses in line with identical eccentric charcterised cinema The Nut Job and Free Birds ($55 to $65 million).
Million Dollar Arm (May 16): This film is radically an alliance of Moneyball, The Blind Side and Slumdog Millionaire. The lowest-grossing of those is Moneyball with usually $75.6 million; even with good word-of-mouth, it would be startling if Million Dollar Arm wound adult significantly aloft than that.
Jersey Boys (June 20): When executive Clint Eastwood stays behind a camera, a formula aren’t all that impressive: his final 6 director-only gigs all unsuccessful to strike $40 million. While Jersey Boys is formed on a renouned Broadway musical, that hasn’t always been a pledge of success: around a same time in 2012, Rock of Ages warranted usually $38.5 million.
Think Like a Man Too (June 20): This is an on-the-fence title, and there’s really a possibility it cracks a Top 20. The initial Think Like a Man earned $91.5 million, and star Kevin Hart is entrance off his biggest strike nonetheless in Ride Along ($134.2 million). Unfortunately, About Last Night missed $50 million, and that was also a battle-of-the-sexes regretful comedy that common expel members with Think Like a Man. With a Vegas environment and garb cast, Think Like a Man Too is really some-more appealing; a finish tighten to $90 million is really possible.
Earth to Echo (July 2): This could advantage from being a usually family-friendly film for a Fourth of Jul weekend. Its found footage character seems played out during this point, though, and it also feels derivative of Super 8 (and, of course, E.T.).
Jupiter Ascending (July 18): This sci-fi adventure, from a Wachowski siblings, will expected be one of a large bombs during a box bureau this Summer. As Cloud Atlas and Speed Racer showed, their code alone isn’t adequate to get people to a movies. While previews benefaction clever visuals, they also embody a lot of weird makeup and accents that are going to spin off many. Moviegoers looking for a space journey will be expected bypass this odd, humorless tour for Guardians of a Galaxy dual weeks later. Don’t be astounded if Jupiter Ascending winds adult being a latest John Carter or Battleship.
The Purge: Anarchy (July 18): The initial Purge film had a large $34.1 million debut, nonetheless couldn’t even double that by a finish of a run. That’s not a good pointer for a sequel, that does during slightest take a movement to a streets of Los Angeles. Ultimately, demeanour for The Purge: Anarchy to tumble a bit brief of a predecessor.
Sex Tape (July 25): In Summer 2011, Bad Teacher became a plain comedy strike with $100.3 million. Sex Tape reunites that movie’s stars (Cameron Diaz and Jason Segel) and executive (Jake Kasdan), and has a plain premise. The initial trailer didn’t make most of an impact, though. This could be a late Summer surprise, nonetheless for now we’re gripping it out of a Top 20.
Step Up All In (July 25): Each Step Up film has warranted reduction than a prototype during a domestic box office. These are now especially an general play: a final dual any warranted over $100 million.
The Hundred-Foot Journey (August 8): As of publication, there isn’t any selling element accessible nonetheless for The Hundred-Foot Journey. The cooking play could lift a Julie Julia and bond in a large approach with womanlike audiences, nonetheless that’s unfit to envision during this point.
Into The Storm (August 8): This film looks approach too tighten to Twister, that still binds adult sincerely good roughly 20 years later. Without any star powerand with a severe recover dateInto The Storm substantially won’t mangle out.
Lucy (August 8): Scarlett Johansson has turn an movement star interjection to her purpose as Black Widow in The Avengers and Captain America: The Winter Soldier, and Lucy has an certainly intriguing trailer. Still, with a difference of Taken, Luc Besson‘s cinema historically have a low ceiling. This could mangle out over a standard sub-$40 million range, nonetheless entrance anywhere tighten to $100 million seems irrational given a movement film competition.
The Expendables 3 (August 15): The second Expendables film warranted $85 million during a domestic box office, that was an 18 percent decrease from a initial installment. Marketing promises that The Expendables 3 is a “last ride,” that could keep it from dropping again. Still, it’s tough to suppose this fending off all of a strange foe this month.
The Giver (August 15): Similar to The Golden Compass and Ender’s Game, The Giver is formed off a renouned young-adult book that came out prolonged before a young-adult craze. Unfortunately, a initial trailer unsuccessful to beget a kind of fad one would expect, that suggests this will breeze adult in a same operation as those other young-adult adaptations ($60 to $80 million during best).
Let’s Be Cops (August 13): This friend comedy is in a We’re a Millers recover date spot, and it could theoretically drum adult startling late-Summer business. Unfortunately, it lacks any star energy whatsoever: a co-leads are from TV’s New Girl, that doesn’t review to bonafide box bureau stars Jennifer Aniston and Jason Sudeikis.
Sin City: A Dame to Kill For (August 22): The initial Sin City warranted $74.1 million in 2005. For whatever reason, it took over 9 years to get a supplement to a large screen. As shown recently by Scream 4, 300: Rise of an Empire and Spy Kids: All a Time in a World (also destined by Robert Rodriguez), that kind of opening probably guarantees a decrease in domestic grosses.
Other releases: Other national releases this Summer embody Mom’s Night Out (May 9), And So It Goes (July 11), The Fluffy Movie (July 11), As Above, So Below (Aug. 15), If we Stay (Aug. 22), When a Game Stands Tall (Aug. 22), Jessabelle (Aug. 29) and The Loft (Aug. 29).
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Grading Mojo’s Summer Forecast
Summer 2013 Forecast
Holiday 2012 Forecast
Summer 2012 Winners/Losers
Summer 2012 Domestic Forecast
Summer 2012 Foreign Forecast
Summer 2014 Release Schedule
2014 Grosses (2014-only releases)