Forecast: ‘Lone Survivor’ to Outlast ‘Hercules’ this Weekend

January 14, 2014 - box office

by Ray Subers
Lone Survivor 

 January 9, 2014

Five cinema are removing a national recover this weekend, yet usually one of them is brand-new. The Legend of Hercules is doubtful to have most of an impact, though, and initial place should go to well-marketed fight film Lone Survivor.

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Expanding to 2,876 locations, Lone Survivor tells a story of Operation Red Wings, a catastrophic 2005 Navy SEALs goal in Afghanistan that resulted in 19 U.S. casualties. Instead of focusing on a barbiturate of a story, though, Universal’s selling has played adult a movie’s themes of bravery and brotherhood. This might not work good with some asocial audiences, yet normal moviegoers will expected welcome a movie’s sincere patriotism.

On a same weekend in 2012, star Mark Wahlberg‘s Contraband non-stop to $24.3 million. Meanwhile, associate fight cinema Zero Dark Thirty and Black Hawk Down also stretched in mid-January and took in $24.4 million and $28.6 million, respectively. A identical outcome wouldn’t be startling for Lone Survivor, yet Universal has it pegged in a mid-to-high teenagers right now.

Opening during 2,104 locations, The Legend of Hercules is a initial of dual 2014 cinema focused on a son of Zeusthe second one, destined by Brett Ratner and starring The Rock, is scheduled for recover in July. Lionsgate/Summit usually recently acquired U.S. rights to this title, that stars Kellan Lutz as a suggested hero. While there’s been some selling on it, a film doesn’t seem to have scarcely a same interest as identical CGI-heavy sword-and-sandal cinema 300 and Immortals. An opening next $10 million seems expected during this point.

After earning over $3.2 million by 3 weeks in singular release, Spike Jonze‘s Her expands to 1,729 theaters. The film has perceived clever reviews and copiousness of awards attention, yet a peculiar story (a male falls in adore with his computer) will keep this from opening too big. Still, formed on allied titles like Lost in Translation, Eternal Sunshine of a Spotless Mind and Midnight in Paris, Her should acquire during slightest $5 million this weekend.

August: Osage County
and Inside Llewyn Davis also enhance national this weekend; August reaches 905 locations, while Llewyn will be personification during 729 venues.

Forecast (Jan. 10-12)

1. Lone Survivor – $23.1 million
2. Frozen – $15.3 million (-22%)
3. Wolf of Wall Street – $10.6 million (-20%)
4. The Hobbit – $9.2 million (-41%)
5. American Hustle – $8.7 million (-30%)
6. Her – $8.1 million
7. Hercules – $8 million
-. August – $5.1 million
-. Llewyn Davis – $3.3 million

Bar for Success

Lone Survivor is in good figure if it can get to $20 million. It hasn’t perceived most of a push, so The Legend of Hercules is fine during $10 million. Her, August: Osage County and Inside Llewyn Davis are all prolonged plays, so as prolonged as they don’t tank (per-theater normal next $2,000 or so) afterwards they should be okay.

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